Marengo Highland @ Northmor
Sunday, October 27, 2019
By Staff

Week 10 brings about a big game for both the Marengo Highland Fighting Scots and the Northmor Golden Knights as it could ultimately decide the postseason fate of either one. The Golden Knights can currently expect to finish the season 4th at 8-2. For the Fighting Scots, postseason chances aren't quite as high as they are projected to finish 12th in Region 15. The Fighting Scots are the favorites on Friday, projected to win the game by a score of 33-22. The Fighting Scots will have a chance to move up in the rankings this week - coming into the game ranked 45th in Division 4, they take on one of Division 6's best as the Golden Knights come in ranked 25th in that division. The Golden Knights will go into Friday looking to prove that, contrary to statistical analysis, they are the better team. The teams have played each other in each of the last five years so neither is likely to surprise the other. Over their last 5 matchups, the Fighting Scots have won 4, a trend they hope to continue. In last year's installment, the Fighting Scots came out on top by a score of 38-20.

After their 30-0 win against the Danville Blue Devils last week, Marengo Highland is 4-5 and looks to finish the season strong. While the Fighting Scots offense has not been particularly great, ranked 67th in Division 4 with 20.8 points per game, they have improved in recent weeks, averaging 33.8 points over their last 5 contests. They aren't a top defense in terms of points allowed either, but they have given up less points in recent weeks. While they rank 51st in their division on the season with 22.3 points allowed per game, they've given up an improved average of 10 points over their last 4 games.

Northmor will look to continue the momentum of their 3-game winning streak, the most recent addition to which was a 63-21 win against the Fredericktown Freddies last week, bringing their record to 8-1. The Golden Knights are undeniably one of Division 6's best offenses, averaging 34.3 points per game, which ranks 25th. In their last 2 games, they've been even better, scoring 50 points per game. While their defense has given up more points than usual in recent weeks, they deserve every bit as much of the credit for this season's successes as the offense. Over the course of the season, they've given up an average of 16.2 points per game, which ranks 19th in their division.

Prediction: Marengo Highland to win (89.71% chance of victory) 

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