Ayersville @ Holgate
Monday, October 9, 2017
By HighSchoolBall.com Staff

Friday's matchup between the Ayersville Pilots and the Holgate Tigers features two teams fighting to stay in playoff contention. While the Pilots head into this week with a 27.22% chance of making the playoffs, the Tigers come in with an equally concerning 9.25% chance. The Pilots, 31-point favorites, hope to prove they're the superior team and keep their postseason fight alive. The Pilots rank 15th in Division 7 while the Tigers rank 78th in Division 7. Ayersville will look to go on the road and humiliate the Holgate Tigers in their own back yard. The teams are no strangers to one another, playing against each other in each of the last five years. Over their last 5 matchups, the Pilots have been superior, coming out on top in 5 of them. However, the past won't matter come kickoff. In last year's installment, the Pilots came out on top by a score of 55 - 8.

Ayersville has dropped each of their most recent 2 games and will look to reverse the negative momentum on Friday. They are currently 4-3 and come off of a 31 - 22 loss against the Fairview Apaches. The Pilots offense hasn't been particularly great this season in terms of point production, a trend which continues into recent weeks. Over their last 4 games, they've scored an average of 13.75 points - this season they've averaged 19, which ranks 72nd in Division 7. On the opposite side of the ball, they rank 31st in the division, allowing 20.1 points per game.

Holgate looks to rebound after a 33 - 0 loss against the Wayne Trace Raiders last week, which brought their record to 2-5. While the Tigers offense has not been particularly great, ranked 90th in Division 7 with 12.3 points per game, they have improved in recent weeks, averaging 16 points over their last 2 contests. They've played at a simiar level on defense, ranking 54th in their division, giving up 27.7 points per game. Over their last 1 games, however, they have made progress, giving up an average of 25.67 points per game.

Prediction: Ayersville to win (98.77% chance of victory) 

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