Typically, the first two rounds consist largely of vastly superior teams beating up on other teams in their region that just so happened to get in with enough playoff points. This likely will not be one of those matchups as the CHCA Eagles head into Sunday projected to beat the Madison Mohawks by a score of 31-27. The playoffs are an interesting time of year as 7 teams fulfill their most ambitious goal in winning a state championship while the other 217 playoff teams will end their season with a loss. This matchup is no different as the winner will continue their playoff run while the loser will end its 2018 season with a loss. CHCA comes in as Division 5's 6th-ranked team. Madison comes in ranked 3rd. There is a certain degree of familiarity between the two teams after they faced off last season. Last season, the Mohawks beat the Eagles 35-27.
CHCA is currently on a 4-game winning streak, which they hope to continue on Sunday. Coming off of a 49-42 win against the West Jefferson Roughriders, they are 8-2 and their confidence continues to build as they finish up the year. Scoring an average of 34.2 points per game on offense, the Eagles rank 23rd in Division 5. They've been even more explosive in recent weeks, scoring an average of 47.33 over their last 3 games. While recent games have affected averages negatively, their defense is one of the best as well. They rank 23rd in their division, giving up an average of 17.6 points per game.
For Madison, Sunday is a chance to expand on a 11-game winning streak after their 26-0 win against the Portsmouth Trojans brought their record to 11-0. The Mohawks have been one of the most prolific offenses in the state and even stronger in their most recent contests. Scoring an average of 43.3 points per game, their offense ranks 24th in the state. Over their last 6 games, they've been even more impressive, scoring an average of 50.33 points per game. Their defense has been equally impressive, particularly in recent weeks. Over their last 2 games, they've allowed just 0 points per game - that's even better than the shutdown defense they've played all season. On the year, they rank 3rd in the state on defense, allowing an average of 0 points.
Prediction: CHCA to win (93.52% chance of victory)