Edgerton @ Ayersville
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
By HighSchoolBall.com Staff

Friday's road team, the Edgerton Bulldogs are looking to continue what's looking like a run at the playoffs as they take on the Ayersville Pilots. The Bulldogs are already in good shape with a 57.90% chance to make the playoffs, but they can increase those chances further to 98.58% with a win. The Pilots are fighting to get back into contention as they come in with a 27.06% chance, which increases to 9.23% if they can defend their home field. Edgerton comes into the game as the favorite, projected to come away with a 28 - 26 victory. Ayersville enters the game as the 16th-ranked team in Division 7, which makes this a key matchup in the division as Edgerton comes in ranked 10th. As slight road favorites, the Bulldogs come in hoping to edge out the Pilots on their home field. The teams are no strangers to one another, playing against each other in each of the last five years. Over their last 5 matchups, the Pilots have been superior, coming out on top in 5 of them. However, the past won't matter come kickoff. In 2016's matchup, the Pilots came away with a 34 - 6 victory.

Edgerton comes into the game on a 2-game winning streak. After last week's 55 - 34 win against the Wayne Trace Raiders, they are 7-2 and look to continue the positive momentum. Thus far, the Bulldogs offense has put up an average of 44.1 points per game, which ranks 23rd in the state. In recent weeks, they've been even more powerful, scoring an average of 55.5 points per game over the last 2 weeks. While their defense has given up more points than usual in recent weeks, they deserve every bit as much of the credit for this season's successes as the offense. Over the course of the season, they've given up an average of 17.1 points per game, which ranks 19th in their division.

After a 14 - 0 win against the Holgate Tigers brought their record to 5-4, Ayersville will be looking to carry that momentum over and earn another victory. The Pilots have struggled on offense, scoring only 13.8 points per game over their last 5 games. On the year, they rank 72nd in Division 7, scoring an average of 18.4 points per game over the course of the season. On defense, they haven't been any better statistically, ranking 22nd in their division, allowing 17.6 points per game.

Prediction: Edgerton to win (51.75% chance of victory) 

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