The Perry Pirates come into the second round of the playoffs projected to get a victory over the Girard Indians by a score of 42-28. However, anything can happen in the playoffs so you can throw mathematical predictions out the window. The playoffs are an interesting time of year as 7 teams fulfill their most ambitious goal in winning a state championship while the other 217 playoff teams will end their season with a loss. This matchup is no different as the winner will continue their playoff run while the loser will end its 2018 season with a loss. The Indians rank 9th in the division while the Pirates rank 4th. Having matched up in 2017, there is a degree of familiarity between the two. Last season, the Pirates beat the Indians 50-21.
Girard is currently on a 9-game winning streak, which they hope to continue on Sunday. Coming off of a 34-30 win against the East Golden Bears, they are 10-1 and their confidence continues to build as they finish up the year. On offense, the Indians have been one of the best in the state this season, ranking 8th with 46.5 points per game. Recent weeks haven't been quite as explosive as they've averaged 37 points per game but they remain one of the most explosive offenses statewide. While recent games have affected averages negatively, their defense is one of the best as well. They rank 13th in their division, giving up an average of 14.5 points per game.
For Perry, Sunday is a chance to expand on a 9-game winning streak after their 48-34 win against the CVCA Royals brought their record to 10-1. The Pirates offense is one of the most high-powered in their division, particularly in recent weeks. For the year, they rank 11th in Division 4 with 41.1 points per game. Over the last 7 weeks, they've scored an average of 41.1. Their defense gives up an average of 18.2 points per game, which ranks 28th in their division - in their last 4 games, they've improved, giving up an average of 11.75 points.
Prediction: Perry to win (98.36% chance of victory)